Two games tonight in the Veikkausliiga; KuPS vs KPV and FC Lahti vs SJK
KuPS vs KPV 18:30 Savon Sanomat Areena, Kuopio
Bethard odds: 1.45 – 4.30 – 6.75
KuPS finally got their first win on their fifth game and then did it again in the last round and now everything look ok again. They have moved 6th on the table and are just two points behind leaders Ilves but they have played a game more. Newly promoted KPV is in a tough situation as they have only gotten 1 point from their opening five games and things are looking grim.. or are they? KuPS could be the ideal team to get points from. The teams met in the Finnish Cup group stage and the points were shared 1-1.
KuPS team news
KuPS has been the most inconsistent team by far this season. They first let RoPS equalize right at the end in the first game. They then lost a 0-3 half time lead against FC Lahti and drew 3-3. They then played a great game against HJK but still only managed to draw 0-0. FC Honka then ripped their defense apart in Kuopio and they lost 0-3. In their second match against RoPS there barely were any chances but they somehow managed to score from one of their few chances to win 0-1. In their last game against IFK Mariehamn, they were totally outplayed in the first half which they lost 3-0. Then they made an amazing comeback in the second half to win 3-4.
The point here is that anything can happen with them right now. They have great players but they really do not play well as a team. This game could be really bad for them. They are huge favourites but they meet a team who can have an organized defense and good counter attacking which is like poison for KuPS in the recent years. Do you still remember that KuPS lost last season twice to the worst team in the league, PS Kemi?
KPV team news
KPV has not played well this season and there is no denying it. Out of their five games this season, they have failed to score in four of them. Still though, you have to look at this a bit deeper. The teams that they lost to were really good defensive teams; SJK, Ilves, RoPS and IFK Mariehamn. Also those “home” games were played away from home in Seinäjoki on an unfamiliar pitch. Their best game actually happened away from home against VPS where they earned a 2-2 draw. They are not a bad team and sooner or later their performances will start giving them points. Against KuPS they have a good chance for this.
Main pick here has to be both teams to score. KuPS defense has only kept two clean sheets this season in both games they wanted to keep the defense tight (HJK and RoPS away). Againts KPV they are expected to attack and this opens counter attacking chances for KPV who can exploit. Bethard having 2.05 odds for both teams to score. I will also go with the away win with 6.75 odds as there should never be so high odds in the Veikkausliiga except maybe away against HJK and only when HJK is on form. An inconsistent KuPS should never have so low odds so you can easily look for handicap options also.
FC Lahti vs SJK 18:30 Kisapuisto, Lahti
Bethard odds: 3.20 – 3.05 – 2.35
FC Lahti has always been the bogey team for SJK and the visitors have never been FC Lahti in Lahti. This season they might have a good chance to do it as they have started the season unexpectedly well. The team with the second highest player budget in the Veikkausliiga is currently 2nd tied in points with leaders Ilves. FC Lahti is 5 points behind them on 9th position but with a game in hand.
FC Lahti team news
FC Lahti is looking for their first home win of the season. More importantly though they might want to try and avoid of going behind early on in the match. In their five games so far, they have been behind after the first half in four of them. They have also failed to score in the first half.
Lahti has been a bit difficult team to predict so far. They have changed so much from last season so their team play is not there yet. They have a pretty good starting 11 but not much help on the bench. They are very difficult to beat but offensively they do lack a proper goalscorer. So far they have scored 6 goals and from these, midfielder Josu has scored 3. Low scoring game expected.
SJK team news
SJK has had a good start to their season as from 6 games they have earned 11 points. They base their game on solid defense and they have only conceded 3 goals so far. Offensively they still have a lot to improve as in those 6 games they have only scored 5 goals. They are really waiting for Billy Ions to get into full strength as he could be the answer to their goal scoring issues.
If they can keep their defense as solid as it has been, then SJK might have a chance this season to get into Europe. SJK will miss from this match suspended Yaghoubi and injured Hatakka. Sundman, Mero and Ions are still doubts. They get back though captain Hetemaj.
This should be a very low scoring game as only three times when these teams have met there has been 2 or more goals. Seven times either one of the teams has won 1-0. Under 1.5 goals is available with 2.40. The draw is also the most likely outcome in this game.